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April 29, 2023
The Bank of Japan has successfully held a two-day monetary policy meeting from April 27 to 28. The market also said that economists have widely expected the central bank to maintain the negative interest rate at minus 0.1%, which will make no changes.
Japan now has to make no changes to its yield curve control scheme. In its first policy meeting, the Bank of Japan also left its interest rates unchanged in newly appointed governor Kazuo Ueda.
The decision is also related to how it aligns with market expectations. The decision taken by the Bank of Japan is in line with what has been expected by other economists.
Economists say the benchmark interest rate will remain the same since the Bank of Japan took interest rates below zero in 2016. The central bank has also kept the tolerance range for bonds of the Japanese government.
If the bonds remain unchanged at 50 basis points above and below their target of 0%, the tolerance range for ten-year bonds is wide. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen also weakened due to the BoJ.
Since the announcement, the Japanese Yen has weakened around 0.8% to 134.75 against the US dollar. The Bank of Japan is also maintaining its current policies as they said they will still decide to conduct a broad perspective review of its easing measures.
Plans in short timeframes will be changed to one to 1.5 years. These are all steps taken to achieve price stability which is a challenge for an extended period. This is also a policy to make them interact and influence economic activity.
This will also impact the prices and financial sector of Japan. The central bank also shows an inflation forecast for all items, around 2.5%, excluding fresh food and energy.
The Bank of Japan also agreed to make any adjustments to the yield curve control policy. Because of the data that was circulated, inflation in Japan ticked higher. The consumer price index in Tokyo rose 3.5% in April.
Meanwhile, the unemployment list also shows a rate that rose 2.8% in March. This ratio puts Japan's position at a challenging level, and the economy is under pressure.
Hiromi Yamaoka, a former official at the Bank of Japan, said: "There remains some uncertainty in the Japanese real economy. But at the same time, inflationary pressures are becoming more imminent, and at the same time, pressure is becoming more imminent,"
Yamaoka added that the BoJ needs to focus more on sectors that will contribute to increased inflation pressure rather than their real economy. Yamaoka also said that the economists could not continue the current intervention in the Japanese Government Bond market.
The Bank of Japan's decision can help maintain its ultra-dovish stance. Hike in the inflation forecast for fiscal 2023, and these are the waning effects of government subsidies.
The central bank continues to add that the benchmark interest rate will be negative 0.1%, and forward guidance will be revised. The Yen fell across the board while maintaining an ultra-low interest rate.
The Yen plunged to its lowest level since September 2008 against the Euro and at a worrying level against the US Dollar. The mixed picture for growth and inflation against the Yen is also expected to return to normal.
The Bank of Japan maintains ultra-low rates at the policy meeting. This is the decision of the new governor, Kazuo Ueda, and its inaugural policy meeting. Despite years of aggressive monetary easing, the BoJ has yet to achieve its inflation goal stably at the 2% level.
Salma Team
Category News: Market News
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